*** Other things to watch: Here are a few very plausible scenarios: Obama could net more delegates out of Vermont than Clinton does out of Ohio. Clinton can win both Ohio and Texas, 52%-48%, and lose the overall delegate battle tonight, thanks to how both Texas and Ohio award more delegates in African-American heavy areas as well as those crazy Texas caucuses. Speaking of Texas, Obama likely has a five-point cushion on the delegate front, meaning he could lose the state by five points and still net delegates. How will the media handle Clinton winning two states but Obama winning the most delegates tonight? Who wins the night? Bonus question: Who do we reward the state of Texas to if Clinton wins the popular vote in the primary but Obama nets the most delegates? And finally, for all the talk of bias against Clinton's campaign in the media, does anyone believe any other candidate could have lost 11-straight contests, be this far behind in delegates, and be simply two victories away from being back in the game? One thing the media has done is they've given Clinton every chance she wants to write her own comeback story. She gets another shot today.
Partisan but inconclusive reflections from David Holiday. This blog was mostly active from March 2004 to September 2005, and has recently been revived as of late 2009. Posts from that earlier period are searchable through the google link below. For those folks interested in Latin America, I strongly recommend subscribing to Joshua Frens-String's M-F news summaries, at joshuafrens-string.com. For over 20 years, I worked professionally on Central America -- residing there from 1991-2005, writing and working on human rights, peace processes and democratization. Following two short-term assignments -- in Uzbekistan (before getting kicked out), and Kabul, Afghanistan (voluntary departure!) -- I landed back in Washington, DC, working on Latin America. You can check out my website for further professional details.
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