Saturday, March 06, 2004

Articles of the week 

There are several good interviews and editorials this week. First and foremost, take a look at this long interview with Salvador Samayoa, provocatively and bravely entitled "I don't want the Frente to win." While Salvador is pretty much a lone ranger at this point, he articulates very well here as to why some on the left are aliented from the FMLN. Also, his brother, Joaquín Samayoa, wrote a perceptive piece about the "messianic left" and the "apocalyptic right," and how both sides have based their campaigns on fear of their opponents. And, finally, this interview with the Costa Rican pollster Victor Borge gives a fairly reasonable overview (conventional wisdom, from my perspective) of the electoral situation.

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Salvadoran Presidential Elections 

Not going to be as interesting as many abroad suspect, because, once again, ARENA's likely to win--perhaps even on the first round, according to all recent polls. Here is something I wrote back in November, in which I try to explain why I thought the FMLN didn't have a chance. Since then, the center has totally flopped. A stronger showing by the center coalition would have likely assured a second round. Now it´s not so clear whether there will even be a second round.

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